5G 网络会对游戏行业产生哪些影响？

11月 4, 2019 1,072 Comments
王石，知乎越来越无趣了
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先说结论吧，我认为可见的几年内，对游戏行业不会产生实质性的大影响。

5G 网路有几个大的特性，分开说。

1.网络延迟低，典型应用场景下预计可达到 10ms 内。

这个特性也许是目前对游戏行业帮助最大的，在需要高实时交互的游戏类型中，如 moba（王者荣耀），团队体育竞技游戏（街头篮球），动作格斗游戏（暂时没想到有什么代表性的有实时交互玩法手游），可以极大的降低技术开发门槛，改善玩家体验，尽力降低因为网络原因造成的「卡」和「数据不一致」。

2.网速快，大约是 4G 的 10 倍。

这个点，短期看，几乎没什么影响，最多是让游戏下载和更新的速度有明显提升，但就当前的游戏质量来说，4G 网络下的下载速度已经是可以接受的了，锦上添花算不上大的提升，不过某些游戏可能不用绞尽脑汁去优化游戏包体了，算是节约一些研发成本。

3.价格低（？？？）。虽然从成本上看，单位流量的运营商成本有明显下降，但考虑基站架设成本和乱七八糟的成本以及盈利控制，短期内 5G 流量的价格估计不会有革命性的降低，最多属于早期微降，然后慢慢下滑的套路，因此在这一点还没有成为事实之前，我们还是不要把它作为一个可以利用的特性。

那么在这种情况下，其他答案提到的「云游戏」就不是一个具有实际应用场景的模式了，要知道在目前手机分辨率普遍超过电脑显示器的情况下，高质量流媒体画面的数据体积是非常夸张的，而且考虑游戏体验，尽量降低延迟的需要，也很难对画面进行高比例压缩，所以可能玩一局「王者荣耀云版本」，估计一个月套餐内流量就用完了。当然，降低画质可以一定程度缓解问题，但是这样我还玩「云游戏」干嘛呢，我本机渲染一样能跑得出低画质，还不费流量只费电。

4.在高速移动场景下，网络质量更稳定。

emmm，这倒是对于坐高铁（是的，飞机更快，但是空中上网跟 5G 是没太大关系了）的玩家来说，算是一个应用场景的拓宽，然而对于游戏行业来说，这并没有带来什么变化，「高速移动」这个应用场景实在难以产生什么特定的设计价值。另外，从人均乘坐高铁次数和时间来说，总体游戏时间比例也太低了…这还没算上游戏目标用户与高铁乘客的重叠程度。

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